Latest developments strengthen our confidence that inflation will return to target in a timely manner, we will take that into account at meeting in OctoberEmployment growth slowed to just 0.2% in the second quarter and recent indicators point to a further deceleration in the coming quartersThe labor market remains resilientWe expect the recovery to strengthen over time
The market is already ahead of the ECB and has priced in a near-certainty of an October cut. From there, the market prices in a steady series of 25 bps cuts with risks towards a 50 bps cut on the way to 1.75% around this time next year.
This article was written by Adam Button at www.forexlive.com.
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