USDJPY bounces off 100 bar MA on the 4-hour chart. Can the buyers keep the momentum?

The USD/JPY pair moved lower during the morning U.S. session but found support at the rising 100-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart (see lower blue line on the chart above), where sellers turned into buyers, driving the price higher.

  • Current Movement:

    • The price is now testing the falling 100-hour moving average at 154.73.
    • The 200-hour moving average, just above at 154.88, serves as the next key resistance.
  • Bullish Outlook:

    • A sustained move above both the 100-hour and 200-hour moving averages would reinforce a bullish bias.
    • Yesterday’s attempt to break above these levels failed, highlighting their importance as resistance points.
  • Context:

    • Since late October, price action has fluctuated around the 100-hour and 200-hour moving averages, signaling market indecision.
    • However, the 100-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart has remained a strong support level, with only minor and short-lived breaks on November 5-6 and earlier this week.
  • Key Takeaway:

    • The 100-bar moving average on the 4-hour chart remains critical. As long as the price holds above this level, buyers retain control (with the 100/200 hour MAs as other targets to the upside).
    • A break below this support MA at 153.88 with sustained momentum would shift the bias towards bearishness.

This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.

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