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Weekly update on interest rate expectations

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Sep 30, 2024
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Rate cuts by year-end

Fed: 75 bps (53% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 193 bps

ECB: 50 bps (96% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 175 bps

BoE: 38 bps (88% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 155 bps

BoC: 75 bps (51% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 207 bps

RBA: 19 bps (79% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 100 bps

RBNZ: 92 bps (66% probability of 50 bps rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 239 bps

SNB: 25 bps (97% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 65 bps

Rate hikes by year-end

BoJ: 7 bps (84% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

2025: 29 bps

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.

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